Value bet: Montedio Yamagata to win @ 2.50 – our chance 42% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMontedio Yamagata to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 15.39
Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the J2 League brings Oita Trinita against Montedio Yamagata at Oita Bank Dome. Kick-off: 09:00 WAT. In the table, Oita Trinita are 11th, lower half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Montedio Yamagata are 14th (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Oita Trinita, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fujieda MYFC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Montedio Yamagata, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Yokohama F. Marinos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended Oita Trinita 1–0 Montedio Yamagata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oita Trinita 0.8 xG, Montedio Yamagata 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oita Trinita 35%, draw 23%, Montedio Yamagata 42%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Montedio Yamagata to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oita Trinita 1–1 Montedio Yamagata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oita Trinita35%fair 2.88 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Montedio Yamagata42%fair 2.36 · @2.50
1.81Expected goals
0.83Oita Trinita xG
0.98Montedio Yamagata xG
52%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Oita Trinita 0.8 – 1.0 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?
On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montedio Yamagata 42%.
How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our predicted score is Oita Trinita 1–1 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?
Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Oita Bank Dome.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
