Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Vegalta Sendai to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVegalta Sendai to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceVegalta Sendai or draw ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
05:05 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Montedio Yamagata v Vegalta Sendai in the J2 League, played at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. In the table, Montedio Yamagata are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Vegalta Sendai are 4th (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Montedio Yamagata, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Oita Trinita, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Vegalta Sendai, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jubilo Iwata, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Vegalta Sendai, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Montedio Yamagata.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Vegalta Sendai 1–0 Montedio Yamagata. The last 2 head-to-heads: Montedio Yamagata 0 wins, Vegalta Sendai 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montedio Yamagata 0.8 xG, Vegalta Sendai 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montedio Yamagata 17%, draw 26%, Vegalta Sendai 57%.
Lower-risk option: Vegalta Sendai or draw (83%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Vegalta Sendai to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vegalta Sendai or draw (83%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montedio Yamagata 0–1 Vegalta Sendai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montedio Yamagata17%fair 5.88 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.25
Vegalta Sendai57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
2.44Expected goals
0.79Montedio Yamagata xG
1.65Vegalta Sendai xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 0.8 – 1.7 Vegalta Sendai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our pick is Vegalta Sendai or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vegalta Sendai 57%.
How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 0–1 Vegalta Sendai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 05:05 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
