Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Albirex Niigata travel to face Shonan Bellmare on Sunday 11 October in the J2 League, with Lemon Gas Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT. In the table, Shonan Bellmare are 10th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Albirex Niigata are 1st (leading the league) with 32.
Current form
Shonan Bellmare, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FC Tokyo, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Albirex Niigata, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tokushima Vortis, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shonan Bellmare 1.3 xG, Albirex Niigata 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shonan Bellmare 42%, draw 24%, Albirex Niigata 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Albirex Niigata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shonan Bellmare42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Albirex Niigata33%fair 3.00 · @3.10
2.44Expected goals
1.32Shonan Bellmare xG
1.12Albirex Niigata xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.3 – 1.1 Albirex Niigata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shonan Bellmare to win✗
42%
2.36
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Shonan Bellmare (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Albirex Niigata +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Shonan Bellmare to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Shonan Bellmare – last 6
LDWDWD
7 Oct
@ FC Tokyo
0–4
L
3 Oct
@ Fujieda MYFC
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Imabari
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Blaublitz Akita
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
9 Sep
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Albirex Niigata – last 6
WLDWWL
3 Oct
vs Tokushima Vortis
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Blaublitz Akita
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Jubilo Iwata
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Montedio Yamagata
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Yokohama FC
0–5
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shonan Bellmare and Albirex Niigata.
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata?
On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Albirex Niigata 33%.
How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata?
Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Albirex Niigata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata?
Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
