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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shonan Bellmare v Iwaki: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Lemon Gas Stadium
1–1
FT

Iwaki

WWLLL
Shonan Bellmare 39%Draw 23%Iwaki 38% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.28
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds
2

Value bet: Iwaki to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.10

Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 21 October the J2 League brings Shonan Bellmare against Iwaki at Lemon Gas Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Shonan Bellmare are 10th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Iwaki are 8th (upper half) with 23. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Shonan Bellmare, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kataller Toyama, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Iwaki, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Ventforet Kofu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Iwaki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shonan Bellmare 1.3 xG, Iwaki 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shonan Bellmare 39%, draw 23%, Iwaki 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Iwaki to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Iwaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shonan Bellmare39%fair 2.54 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Iwaki38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
2.59Expected goals
1.31Shonan Bellmare xG
1.28Iwaki xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.3 – 1.3 Iwaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShonan Bellmare to win ✗39%2.542.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.73
Draw no betShonan Bellmare (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapIwaki +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreShonan Bellmare to score first47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare ✗22%4.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.10–

Recent results

Shonan Bellmare – last 6

DDLDWD
17 Oct@ Kataller Toyama1–1D
11 Octvs Albirex Niigata1–1D
7 Oct@ FC Tokyo0–4L
3 Oct@ Fujieda MYFC1–1D
26 Sep@ Imabari2–1W
19 Sepvs Blaublitz Akita1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Iwaki – last 6

WWLLLW
18 Octvs Ventforet Kofu5–0W
11 Octvs Blaublitz Akita1–0W
7 Oct@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–4L
4 Oct@ Consadole Sapporo1–2L
26 Sepvs Vegalta Sendai0–2L
19 Sep@ Sagan Tosu3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Shonan Bellmare v Iwaki1–1
Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki?

On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Iwaki 38%.

How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki?

Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Iwaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki?

Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.