Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tegevajaro Miyazaki travel to face Montedio Yamagata on Sunday 25 October in the J2 League, with ND Soft Stadium Yamagata the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Montedio Yamagata are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Tegevajaro Miyazaki are 6th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
Montedio Yamagata, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Consadole Sapporo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Blaublitz Akita, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tegevajaro Miyazaki, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Montedio Yamagata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montedio Yamagata 1.0 xG, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montedio Yamagata 33%, draw 23%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 44%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montedio Yamagata33%fair 3.06 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Tegevajaro Miyazaki44%fair 2.25 · @2.25
2.29Expected goals
1.03Montedio Yamagata xG
1.26Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.0 – 1.3 Tegevajaro Miyazaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win✓
44%
2.25
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.75
Draw no bet
Tegevajaro Miyazaki (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Montedio Yamagata +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki✓
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Montedio Yamagata – last 6
LDLLLW
21 Oct
vs Consadole Sapporo
0–2
L
17 Oct
@ Fujieda MYFC
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Vegalta Sendai
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Oita Trinita
1–2
L
29 Sep
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Sagan Tosu
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 6
WDDLDW
21 Oct
vs Blaublitz Akita
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Jubilo Iwata
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Kataller Toyama
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Kawasaki Frontale
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Omiya Ardija
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Consadole Sapporo
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montedio Yamagata and Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tegevajaro Miyazaki 44%.
How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
