Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Vegalta Sendai to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVegalta Sendai to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceVegalta Sendai or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the J2 League brings Albirex Niigata against Vegalta Sendai at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Albirex Niigata are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Vegalta Sendai are 4th (among the top four) with 30. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Albirex Niigata, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sagan Tosu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Vegalta Sendai, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Imabari, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vegalta Sendai, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Albirex Niigata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albirex Niigata 0.9 xG, Vegalta Sendai 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albirex Niigata 16%, draw 24%, Vegalta Sendai 60%.
Lower-risk option: Vegalta Sendai or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Vegalta Sendai to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vegalta Sendai or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albirex Niigata 0–1 Vegalta Sendai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albirex Niigata16%fair 6.41 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
Vegalta Sendai60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
2.79Expected goals
0.88Albirex Niigata xG
1.91Vegalta Sendai xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 0.9 – 1.9 Vegalta Sendai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vegalta Sendai to win✗
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Vegalta Sendai or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Draw no bet
Vegalta Sendai (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Vegalta Sendai -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Vegalta Sendai to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Vegalta Sendai ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vegalta Sendai / FT Vegalta Sendai✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Albirex Niigata – last 6
WLDWLD
21 Oct
vs Sagan Tosu
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Oita Trinita
1–5
L
11 Oct
@ Shonan Bellmare
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Tokushima Vortis
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Blaublitz Akita
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vegalta Sendai – last 6
WDWWWW
21 Oct
vs Imabari
3–1
W
17 Oct
vs Tokushima Vortis
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Montedio Yamagata
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Jubilo Iwata
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Iwaki
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Tochigi City
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albirex Niigata and Vegalta Sendai.
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our pick is Vegalta Sendai or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai?
On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vegalta Sendai 60%.
How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 0–1 Vegalta Sendai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
