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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Albirex Niigata v Kataller Toyama: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Denka Big Swan Stadium
2–3
FT
Albirex Niigata 21%Draw 20%Kataller Toyama 59% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.89
59%
Betarazi pick

Kataller Toyama to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultKataller Toyama to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kataller Toyama travel to face Albirex Niigata on Saturday 31 October in the J2 League, with Denka Big Swan Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Albirex Niigata are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Kataller Toyama are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Albirex Niigata, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vegalta Sendai, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Kataller Toyama, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Consadole Sapporo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Kataller Toyama 2–0 Albirex Niigata. The last 2 head-to-heads: Albirex Niigata 0 wins, Kataller Toyama 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Albirex Niigata 1.0 xG, Kataller Toyama 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Albirex Niigata 21%, draw 20%, Kataller Toyama 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kataller Toyama to win (59%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albirex Niigata 0–1 Kataller Toyama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Albirex Niigata21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.40
Kataller Toyama59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
2.88Expected goals
0.99Albirex Niigata xG
1.89Kataller Toyama xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%

From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 1.0 – 1.9 Kataller Toyama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKataller Toyama to win ✓59%1.681.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.681.57
Draw no betKataller Toyama (draw no bet) ✓74%1.34–
Asian handicapAlbirex Niigata +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
First team to scoreKataller Toyama to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultKataller Toyama ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Albirex Niigata – last 6

WWLDWL
25 Octvs Vegalta Sendai2–1W
21 Octvs Sagan Tosu2–1W
17 Oct@ Oita Trinita1–5L
11 Oct@ Shonan Bellmare1–1D
3 Octvs Tokushima Vortis2–1W
29 Sep@ Matsumoto Yamaga0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kataller Toyama – last 6

LWDDWL
25 Octvs Consadole Sapporo0–1L
21 Oct@ Omiya Ardija3–0W
17 Octvs Shonan Bellmare1–1D
11 Octvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1D
3 Oct@ Ventforet Kofu2–1W
29 Sepvs Urawa2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Kataller Toyama v Albirex Niigata2–0
20 Mar 2026Albirex Niigata v Kataller Toyama2–3
Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama?

Our pick is Kataller Toyama to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama?

On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kataller Toyama 59%.

How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama?

Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 0–1 Kataller Toyama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama?

Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.