Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sagan Tosu travel to face Jubilo Iwata on Saturday 31 October in the J2 League, with Yamaha Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Jubilo Iwata are 9th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Sagan Tosu are 13th (lower half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jubilo Iwata, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Iwaki, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sagan Tosu, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kawasaki Frontale, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sagan Tosu, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Jubilo Iwata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jubilo Iwata 1.1 xG, Sagan Tosu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jubilo Iwata 39%, draw 23%, Sagan Tosu 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jubilo Iwata 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jubilo Iwata39%fair 2.58 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Sagan Tosu38%fair 2.63 · @2.62
2.23Expected goals
1.12Jubilo Iwata xG
1.11Sagan Tosu xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Jubilo Iwata 1.1 – 1.1 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jubilo Iwata to win✓
39%
2.58
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Jubilo Iwata (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Sagan Tosu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Jubilo Iwata to score first✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jubilo Iwata / FT Jubilo Iwata✗
20%
4.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.33
–
Recent results
Jubilo Iwata – last 6
DDDLWL
25 Oct
@ Iwaki
1–1
D
21 Oct
vs Oita Trinita
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1–1
D
14 Oct
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–4
L
10 Oct
vs Consadole Sapporo
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Vegalta Sendai
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sagan Tosu – last 6
LWLWWW
28 Oct
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
2–0
W
21 Oct
@ Albirex Niigata
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Omiya Ardija
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Fujieda MYFC
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu.
What is the prediction for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Jubilo Iwata have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sagan Tosu 38%.
How many goals will there be in Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
Our predicted score is Jubilo Iwata 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Yamaha Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
