Value bet: Montedio Yamagata to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIwaki to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the J2 League brings Iwaki against Montedio Yamagata at Iwaki Greenfield. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Iwaki are 8th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Montedio Yamagata are 14th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Iwaki, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Omiya Ardija, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Montedio Yamagata, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tokushima Vortis, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Iwaki, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Montedio Yamagata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iwaki 1.4 xG, Montedio Yamagata 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iwaki 45%, draw 21%, Montedio Yamagata 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Montedio Yamagata to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iwaki 1–1 Montedio Yamagata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iwaki45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.50
Montedio Yamagata34%fair 2.98 · @3.30
2.55Expected goals
1.40Iwaki xG
1.15Montedio Yamagata xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Iwaki 1.4 – 1.2 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iwaki to win✓
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
Iwaki (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Montedio Yamagata +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Iwaki to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iwaki / FT Iwaki✓
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Iwaki – last 6
LWDDWW
3 Nov
@ Omiya Ardija
1–2
L
31 Oct
@ Tochigi City
3–1
W
25 Oct
vs Jubilo Iwata
1–1
D
21 Oct
@ Shonan Bellmare
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Ventforet Kofu
5–0
W
11 Oct
vs Blaublitz Akita
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Montedio Yamagata – last 6
WWLLDL
3 Nov
vs Tokushima Vortis
1–0
W
31 Oct
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–2
L
21 Oct
vs Consadole Sapporo
0–2
L
17 Oct
@ Fujieda MYFC
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Vegalta Sendai
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iwaki and Montedio Yamagata.
What is the prediction for Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?
On our numbers Iwaki have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Montedio Yamagata 34%.
How many goals will there be in Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our predicted score is Iwaki 1–1 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?
Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Iwaki Greenfield.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
