Value bet: Kataller Toyama to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSagan Tosu to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kataller Toyama travel to face Sagan Tosu on Saturday 7 November in the J2 League, with Ekimae Real Estate Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Sagan Tosu are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Kataller Toyama are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
Sagan Tosu, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Shonan Bellmare, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Kataller Toyama, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vegalta Sendai, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Aug 2026) it ended Sagan Tosu 4–0 Kataller Toyama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sagan Tosu 1.4 xG, Kataller Toyama 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sagan Tosu 43%, draw 21%, Kataller Toyama 35%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Kataller Toyama to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagan Tosu 1–1 Kataller Toyama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sagan Tosu43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Kataller Toyama35%fair 2.82 · @3.00
2.68Expected goals
1.43Sagan Tosu xG
1.26Kataller Toyama xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.4 – 1.3 Kataller Toyama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?
On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kataller Toyama 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?
Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 1–1 Kataller Toyama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?
Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
