Consadole Sapporo 38%Draw 26%Sagan Tosu 36%Expected goals 1.30 – 1.08
75%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Consadole Sapporo to win @ 3.06 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultConsadole Sapporo to win38% · @3.06
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.86
Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 November the J2 League brings Consadole Sapporo against Sagan Tosu at Sapporo Dome. Kick-off: 05:00 WAT. In the table, Consadole Sapporo are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Sagan Tosu are 13th (lower half) with 20.
Current form
Consadole Sapporo, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vanraure Hachinohe, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Sagan Tosu, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kataller Toyama, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Consadole Sapporo, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Sagan Tosu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Consadole Sapporo 1.3 xG, Sagan Tosu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Consadole Sapporo 38%, draw 26%, Sagan Tosu 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Consadole Sapporo to win @3.06 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Consadole Sapporo38%fair 2.64 · @3.06
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.34
Sagan Tosu36%fair 2.77 · @2.03
2.37Expected goals
1.30Consadole Sapporo xG
1.08Sagan Tosu xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Consadole Sapporo 1.3 – 1.1 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Consadole Sapporo
Sagan Tosu
Attack vs J2 League average
+13%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.32
0.87
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Consadole Sapporo to win
38%
2.64
3.06 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
Consadole Sapporo (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Sagan Tosu +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Consadole Sapporo to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Consadole Sapporo / FT Consadole Sapporo
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Consadole Sapporo – last 6
WWWWWW
8 Nov
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
3 Nov
@ Imabari
4–0
W
31 Oct
vs Shonan Bellmare
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Kataller Toyama
1–0
W
21 Oct
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Blaublitz Akita
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sagan Tosu – last 6
LWLLWL
7 Nov
vs Kataller Toyama
1–2
L
3 Nov
@ Shonan Bellmare
1–0
W
31 Oct
@ Jubilo Iwata
0–2
L
28 Oct
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
2–0
W
21 Oct
@ Albirex Niigata
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Consadole Sapporo and Sagan Tosu.
What is the prediction for Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Consadole Sapporo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sagan Tosu 36%.
How many goals will there be in Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
Our predicted score is Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Sapporo Dome.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
