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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kataller Toyama v Tokushima Vortis: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Toyama Stadium
Sun 15 Nov 2026
Kataller Toyama 57%Draw 25%Tokushima Vortis 18% Expected goals 1.70 – 0.80
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.37

7/10Rating
1.37Odds

Picks by market

ResultKataller Toyama to win57% · @1.76
Double chanceKataller Toyama or draw82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.54

Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tokushima Vortis travel to face Kataller Toyama on Sunday 15 November in the J2 League, with Toyama Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Kataller Toyama are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Tokushima Vortis are 15th (lower half) with 17. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kataller Toyama, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sagan Tosu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Tokushima Vortis, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tegevajaro Miyazaki, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Kataller Toyama, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Tokushima Vortis.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Tokushima Vortis 1–3 Kataller Toyama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kataller Toyama 1.7 xG, Tokushima Vortis 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kataller Toyama 57%, draw 25%, Tokushima Vortis 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kataller Toyama or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.63.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kataller Toyama 1–0 Tokushima Vortis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kataller Toyama57%fair 1.74 · @1.76
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.58
Tokushima Vortis18%fair 5.67 · @3.70
2.50Expected goals
1.70Kataller Toyama xG
0.80Tokushima Vortis xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Kataller Toyama 1.7 – 0.8 Tokushima Vortis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Kataller ToyamaTokushima Vortis
Attack vs J2 League average+39%-19%
Goals conceded vs average-24%-15%
Our expected goals here1.650.74

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKataller Toyama to win57%1.741.76
Double chanceKataller Toyama or draw82%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.811.63
Draw no betKataller Toyama (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapTokushima Vortis +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.361.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals50%2.002.01
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.411.37
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.171.12
First team to scoreKataller Toyama to score first62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.54–

Recent results

Kataller Toyama – last 6

WWWLWD
7 Nov@ Sagan Tosu2–1W
3 Novvs Vegalta Sendai1–0W
31 Oct@ Albirex Niigata3–2W
25 Octvs Consadole Sapporo0–1L
21 Oct@ Omiya Ardija3–0W
17 Octvs Shonan Bellmare1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tokushima Vortis – last 6

LLLWLD
7 Novvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–2L
3 Nov@ Montedio Yamagata0–1L
31 Octvs Yokohama FC0–1L
24 Oct@ Fujieda MYFC1–0W
21 Octvs Vanraure Hachinohe0–1L
17 Oct@ Vegalta Sendai0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Tokushima Vortis v Kataller Toyama1–3
Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.

Who will win Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

On our numbers Kataller Toyama have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tokushima Vortis 18%.

How many goals will there be in Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Our predicted score is Kataller Toyama 1–0 Tokushima Vortis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyama Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.