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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

RB Bragantino v Atletico-MG: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques

RB Bragantino

LWDDD
0–1
FT

Atletico-MG

DWDWD
RB Bragantino 45%Draw 27%Atletico-MG 28% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.03
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultRB Bragantino to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74

RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico-MG travel to face RB Bragantino on Wednesday 12 August in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, with Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, RB Bragantino are 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches; Atletico-MG are 1st with 10. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

RB Bragantino, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Corinthians, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atletico-MG, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Remo, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Atletico-MG, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for RB Bragantino.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RB Bragantino 1.3 xG, Atletico-MG 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – RB Bragantino 45%, draw 27%, Atletico-MG 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Bragantino 1–1 Atletico-MG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RB Bragantino45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.30
Atletico-MG28%fair 3.52 · @3.70
2.34Expected goals
1.31RB Bragantino xG
1.03Atletico-MG xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: RB Bragantino 1.3 – 1.0 Atletico-MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRB Bragantino to win ✗45%2.232.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.971.90
Draw no betRB Bragantino (draw no bet) ✗61%1.63–
Asian handicapAtletico-MG +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.471.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.08
First team to scoreRB Bragantino to score first ✗51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT RB Bragantino / FT RB Bragantino ✗25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.74–

Recent results

RB Bragantino – last 6

LWDDDW
9 Augvs Corinthians0–2L
30 Julvs Sporting Cristal1–0W
26 Julvs Coritiba0–0D
23 Jul@ Sporting Cristal0–0D
18 Jul@ Fluminense1–1D
11 Julvs Atletico Paranaense2–1W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Atletico-MG – last 6

DWDWDW
8 Aug@ Remo2–2D
4 Aug@ Juventude1–0W
1 Augvs Juventude0–0D
26 Jul@ Palmeiras2–1W
21 Julvs Bahia1–1D
31 May@ Vasco DA Gama1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between RB Bragantino and Atletico-MG.

RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG6312+210
2Cienciano6222-28
3Juventud6141+37
4Puerto Cabello6213-37

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub
FT Bolívar1 Sao Paulo1 153%1.80X27%3.50220%4.35 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.28 ✓
FT Tigre0 Atletico Torque1 145%1.83X27%3.30228%4.50 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?

On our numbers RB Bragantino have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atletico-MG 28%.

How many goals will there be in RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?

Our predicted score is RB Bragantino 1–1 Atletico-MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?

RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.