Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Bolívar vs Sao Paulo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Wednesday 12 August: Bolívar v Sao Paulo in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at Estadio Hernando Siles.
Current form
Bolívar, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Aurora, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Sao Paulo, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gremio, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bolívar, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Sao Paulo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bolívar 1.4 xG, Sao Paulo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bolívar 53%, draw 27%, Sao Paulo 20%.
Lower-risk option: Bolívar or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolívar 1–0 Sao Paulo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bolívar53%fair 1.87 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.50
Sao Paulo20%fair 5.06 · @4.35
2.18Expected goals
1.39Bolívar xG
0.79Sao Paulo xG
48%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Bolívar 1.4 – 0.8 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bolívar to win✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Double chance
Bolívar or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.90
Draw no bet
Bolívar (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Sao Paulo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.09
First team to score
Bolívar to score first✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolívar / FT Bolívar✗
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.35
–
Recent results
Bolívar – last 6
WWLWWW
9 Aug
@ Aurora
4–2
W
6 Aug
vs Oriente Petrolero
2–1
W
2 Aug
@ Always Ready
0–1
L
30 Jul
@ Gremio
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Real Potosí
2–1
W
23 Jul
vs Gremio
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sao Paulo – last 6
LDLLWD
8 Aug
@ Gremio
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Flamengo
1–1
D
23 Jul
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–2
L
1 Jun
@ Remo
0–1
L
26 May
vs Boston River
2–0
W
20 May
vs Millonarios
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolívar and Sao Paulo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bolívar vs Sao Paulo?
On our numbers Bolívar have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sao Paulo 20%.
How many goals will there be in Bolívar vs Sao Paulo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolívar vs Sao Paulo?
Our predicted score is Bolívar 1–0 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bolívar vs Sao Paulo?
Bolívar vs Sao Paulo (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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