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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico-MG v RB Bragantino: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Arena MRV

Atletico-MG

WWDWD
2–2
FT

RB Bragantino

DLLWD
Atletico-MG 44%Draw 23%RB Bragantino 34% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.03
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: RB Bragantino to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtletico-MG to win ✗44% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.30

Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: Atletico-MG v RB Bragantino in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at Arena MRV. In the table, Atletico-MG are 1st on 10 points after 6 matches; RB Bragantino are 2nd with 10. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Atletico-MG, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gremio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

RB Bragantino, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Paranaense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Atletico-MG, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for RB Bragantino.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Aug 2026) it ended RB Bragantino 0–1 Atletico-MG.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico-MG 1.2 xG, RB Bragantino 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico-MG 44%, draw 23%, RB Bragantino 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: RB Bragantino to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico-MG 1–1 RB Bragantino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico-MG44%fair 2.30 · @2.18
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
RB Bragantino34%fair 2.97 · @3.30
2.26Expected goals
1.23Atletico-MG xG
1.03RB Bragantino xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Atletico-MG 1.2 – 1.0 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico-MG to win ✗44%2.302.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.93
Draw no betAtletico-MG (draw no bet)56%1.77–
Asian handicapRB Bragantino +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.701.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.261.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scoreAtletico-MG to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico-MG / FT Atletico-MG ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.30–

Recent results

Atletico-MG – last 6

WWDWDW
16 Augvs Gremio3–0W
12 Aug@ RB Bragantino1–0W
8 Aug@ Remo2–2D
4 Aug@ Juventude1–0W
1 Augvs Juventude0–0D
26 Jul@ Palmeiras2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

RB Bragantino – last 6

DLLWDD
15 Aug@ Atletico Paranaense1–1D
12 Augvs Atletico-MG0–1L
9 Augvs Corinthians0–2L
30 Julvs Sporting Cristal1–0W
26 Julvs Coritiba0–0D
23 Jul@ Sporting Cristal0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Aug 2026RB Bragantino v Atletico-MG0–1
Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG6312+210
2Cienciano6222-28
3Juventud6141+37
4Puerto Cabello6213-37

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub
FT Sao Paulo3 Bolívar1 164%1.41X20%4.80216%6.50 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.40 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?

On our numbers Atletico-MG have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and RB Bragantino 34%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?

Our predicted score is Atletico-MG 1–1 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?

Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena MRV.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.