AS Marsa 23%Draw 56%Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 21%Expected goals 0.77 – 0.73
79%
Betarazi pick
AS Marsa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 2.60 – our chance 56% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +46%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓56% · @2.60
Double chanceAS Marsa or draw ✓79% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✓22% · fair 4.48
AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer travel to face AS Marsa on Saturday 29 August in the Ligue 1 – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, AS Marsa are 11th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer are 6th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
AS Marsa, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CA Bizertin, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, at home. The attack is flying at 4.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for AS Marsa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AS Marsa 0.8 xG, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AS Marsa 23%, draw 56%, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 21%.
Lower-risk option: AS Marsa or draw (79%) at 1.40.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Draw @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AS Marsa or draw (79%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AS Marsa 0–0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AS Marsa23%fair 4.35 · @2.62
Draw56%fair 1.78 · @2.60
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer21%fair 4.78 · @2.80
1.50Expected goals
0.77AS Marsa xG
0.73Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer xG
48%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: AS Marsa 0.8 – 0.7 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
56%
1.78
2.60 ▲
Double chance
AS Marsa or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.62
Draw no bet
AS Marsa (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
AS Marsa to score first✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✓
22%
4.48
–
Recent results
AS Marsa – last 6
LDWWLW
23 Aug
@ CA Bizertin
0–1
L
12 May
@ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2–2
D
4 May
@ CA Bizertin
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs ES Zarzis
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Olympique Béja
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Aug
vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2–0
W
29 May
@ ES Hammam-Sousse
3–2
W
12 May
vs Redeyef
5–0
W
28 Apr
vs Djelma
4–1
W
22 Apr
vs Korba
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sahline
6–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Marsa and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer.
What is the prediction for AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
Our pick is AS Marsa or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
On our numbers AS Marsa have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 21%.
How many goals will there be in AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
Our predicted score is AS Marsa 0–0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
US Monastirienne2