US Monastirienne 34%Draw 28%Stade Tunisien 38%Expected goals 0.47 – 0.53
61%
Betarazi pick
Not both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Stade Tunisien to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStade Tunisien to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.16
US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stade Tunisien travel to face US Monastirienne on Saturday 29 August in the Ligue 1, with Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT.
Current form
US Monastirienne, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with ES Hammam-Sousse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Stade Tunisien, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CS Sfaxien, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give US Monastirienne 0.5 xG, Stade Tunisien 0.5 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – US Monastirienne 34%, draw 28%, Stade Tunisien 38%.
GG/NG: NG (61%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Stade Tunisien to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Monastirienne 0–0 Stade Tunisien. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
US Monastirienne34%fair 2.92 · @2.60
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.45
Stade Tunisien38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
1.00Expected goals
0.47US Monastirienne xG
0.53Stade Tunisien xG
39%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
0–119%
1–017%
1–19%
0–25%
2–04%
From our goals model: US Monastirienne 0.5 – 0.5 Stade Tunisien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Tunisien to win✗
38%
2.65
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.44
Draw no bet
Stade Tunisien (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
US Monastirienne +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
No goal✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.16
–
Recent results
US Monastirienne – last 6
DWLWWD
22 Aug
@ ES Hammam-Sousse
0–0
D
14 May
vs AS Soliman
3–0
W
4 May
vs ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs AS Gabes
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Club Africain
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ CA Bizertin
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Stade Tunisien – last 6
DWDLDW
22 Aug
vs CS Sfaxien
1–1
D
13 May
@ AS Gabes
1–0
W
8 May
vs US Ben Guerdane
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs ES Sahel
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ AS Marsa
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between US Monastirienne and Stade Tunisien.
What is the prediction for US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
On our numbers US Monastirienne have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Stade Tunisien 38%.
How many goals will there be in US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
Our predicted score is US Monastirienne 0–0 Stade Tunisien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
