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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

US Ben Guerdane v CS Sfaxien: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Tunisia · 7 March Stadium
1–1
FT
US Ben Guerdane 27%Draw 26%CS Sfaxien 47% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.99
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 2.30 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
2.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultCS Sfaxien to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.08

US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CS Sfaxien travel to face US Ben Guerdane on Wednesday 16 September in the Ligue 1, with 7 March Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, US Ben Guerdane are 1st, leading the league, on 17 points after 7 matches; CS Sfaxien are 8th (upper half) with 10.

Current form

US Ben Guerdane, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with US Monastirienne, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

CS Sfaxien, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shooting Stars, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended US Ben Guerdane 0–1 CS Sfaxien.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give US Ben Guerdane 1.5 xG, CS Sfaxien 2.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – US Ben Guerdane 27%, draw 26%, CS Sfaxien 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 2.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Ben Guerdane 1–1 CS Sfaxien. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

US Ben Guerdane27%fair 3.68 · @3.75
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.62
CS Sfaxien47%fair 2.15 · @2.10
3.50Expected goals
1.51US Ben Guerdane xG
1.99CS Sfaxien xG
59%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–36%

From our goals model: US Ben Guerdane 1.5 – 2.0 CS Sfaxien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCS Sfaxien to win ✗47%2.152.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.702.30 ▲
Draw no betCS Sfaxien (draw no bet)63%1.58–
Asian handicapUS Ben Guerdane +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreCS Sfaxien to score first ✓55%1.82–
Half-time resultCS Sfaxien ahead at half-time ✓38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT CS Sfaxien / FT CS Sfaxien ✗30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.08–

Recent results

US Ben Guerdane – last 6

DWLDWW
12 Sep@ US Monastirienne3–3D
30 Aug@ Olympique Béja2–1W
14 Mayvs ES Tunis0–1L
8 May@ Stade Tunisien0–0D
30 Apr@ JS Kairouanaise1–0W
10 Apr@ AS Gabes1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CS Sfaxien – last 6

WLWDWL
13 Sepvs Shooting Stars2–0W
5 Sep@ Shooting Stars0–1L
29 Augvs ES Zarzis2–1W
22 Aug@ Stade Tunisien1–1D
9 Augvs San-Pédro1–0W
24 Mayvs ES Zarzis0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026US Ben Guerdane v CS Sfaxien0–1
US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1US Ben Guerdane7520+617
2ES Tunis7511+416
3Stade Tunisien7412+313
4Club Africain7412+213
5Monastir7331+212
6Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer7331+312
7CA Bizertin7322+111
8CS Sfaxien7241+210
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane7241+110
10ES Sahel622208
11AS Marsa6132+16
12ES Metlaoui7205-56
13ES Zarzis7205-26
14CS Hammam-Lif7124-35
15Olympique Béja7034-53
16ES Hammam-Sousse7016-101

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.

Who will win US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien?

On our numbers US Ben Guerdane have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CS Sfaxien 47%.

How many goals will there be in US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien?

Our predicted score is US Ben Guerdane 1–1 CS Sfaxien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien?

US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at 7 March Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.