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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ES Zarzis v US Monastirienne: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Tunisia · Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium
1–2
FT
ES Zarzis 35%Draw 28%US Monastirienne 37% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.32
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 2.30 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultUS Monastirienne to win ✓37% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.08

ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: ES Zarzis v US Monastirienne in the Ligue 1, played at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.

Current form

ES Zarzis, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Diambars, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

US Monastirienne, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with US Ben Guerdane, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended US Monastirienne 3–0 ES Zarzis.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ES Zarzis 1.3 xG, US Monastirienne 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ES Zarzis 35%, draw 28%, US Monastirienne 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Zarzis 1–1 US Monastirienne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ES Zarzis35%fair 2.83 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.50
US Monastirienne37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
2.60Expected goals
1.28ES Zarzis xG
1.32US Monastirienne xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: ES Zarzis 1.3 – 1.3 US Monastirienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUS Monastirienne to win ✓37%2.693.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.44
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.852.30 ▲
Draw no betUS Monastirienne (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapES Zarzis +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreUS Monastirienne to score first47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT US Monastirienne / FT US Monastirienne ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.08–

Recent results

ES Zarzis – last 6

LWLWLW
12 Sep@ Diambars0–1L
4 Sepvs Diambars3–1W
29 Aug@ CS Sfaxien1–2L
23 Augvs Olympique Béja1–0W
31 Mayvs ES Tunis0–1L
24 May@ CS Sfaxien1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

US Monastirienne – last 6

DWDWLW
12 Sepvs US Ben Guerdane3–3D
29 Augvs Stade Tunisien2–1W
22 Aug@ ES Hammam-Sousse0–0D
14 Mayvs AS Soliman3–0W
4 Mayvs ES Metlaoui0–1L
29 Aprvs AS Gabes2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026US Monastirienne v ES Zarzis3–0
ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1US Ben Guerdane7520+617
2ES Tunis7511+416
3Stade Tunisien7412+313
4Club Africain7412+213
5Monastir7331+212
6Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer7331+312
7CA Bizertin7322+111
8CS Sfaxien7241+210
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane7241+110
10ES Sahel622208
11AS Marsa6132+16
12ES Metlaoui7205-56
13ES Zarzis7205-26
14CS Hammam-Lif7124-35
15Olympique Béja7034-53
16ES Hammam-Sousse7016-101

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.

Who will win ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?

On our numbers ES Zarzis have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and US Monastirienne 37%.

How many goals will there be in ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?

Our predicted score is ES Zarzis 1–1 US Monastirienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?

ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne (Ligue 1) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.