Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.43
ES Tunis vs AS Marsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 6 September: ES Tunis v AS Marsa in the Ligue 1, played at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi. In the table, ES Tunis are 2nd, among the top four, on 16 points after 7 matches; AS Marsa are 11th (lower half) with 6.
Current form
ES Tunis, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
AS Marsa, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours ES Tunis, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for AS Marsa.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended ES Tunis 1–0 AS Marsa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ES Tunis 2.0 xG, AS Marsa 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ES Tunis 70%, draw 21%, AS Marsa 9%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was ES Tunis to win (70%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Tunis 1–0 AS Marsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ES Tunis70%fair 1.43 · @1.20
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @5.00
AS Marsa9%fair 10.63 · @12.00
2.53Expected goals
1.96ES Tunis xG
0.57AS Marsa xG
42%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: ES Tunis 2.0 – 0.6 AS Marsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is ES Tunis to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
On our numbers ES Tunis have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AS Marsa 9%.
How many goals will there be in ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
Our predicted score is ES Tunis 1–0 AS Marsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
ES Tunis vs AS Marsa (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
