ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: ES Metlaoui v Stade Tunisien in the Ligue 1, played at Metlaoui Municipal stadium. In the table, ES Metlaoui are 12th, lower half, on 6 points after 7 matches; Stade Tunisien are 3rd (among the top four) with 13.
Current form
ES Metlaoui, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Stade Tunisien, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over ES Hammam-Sousse, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stade Tunisien, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for ES Metlaoui.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ES Metlaoui 0.9 xG, Stade Tunisien 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ES Metlaoui 29%, draw 26%, Stade Tunisien 44%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.25 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Metlaoui 1–1 Stade Tunisien. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ES Metlaoui29%fair 3.42 · @3.30
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.62
Stade Tunisien44%fair 2.25 · @2.30
2.14Expected goals
0.92ES Metlaoui xG
1.22Stade Tunisien xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: ES Metlaoui 0.9 – 1.2 Stade Tunisien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Tunisien to win✓
44%
2.25
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Stade Tunisien (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
ES Metlaoui +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Stade Tunisien to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Tunisien / FT Stade Tunisien✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.42
–
Recent results
ES Metlaoui – last 6
LWLLLD
13 Sep
@ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs ES Hammam-Sousse
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ ES Sahel
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Club Africain
0–1
L
17 May
vs ES Tunis
1–3
L
14 May
vs JS Kairouanaise
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stade Tunisien – last 6
WLDWDL
12 Sep
@ ES Hammam-Sousse
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ US Monastirienne
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs CS Sfaxien
1–1
D
13 May
@ AS Gabes
1–0
W
8 May
vs US Ben Guerdane
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Metlaoui and Stade Tunisien.
What is the prediction for ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien?
On our numbers ES Metlaoui have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stade Tunisien 44%.
How many goals will there be in ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien?
Our predicted score is ES Metlaoui 1–1 Stade Tunisien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien?
ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Metlaoui Municipal stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
