ES Zarzis 64%Draw 25%ES Hammam-Sousse 11%Expected goals 1.38 – 0.37
64%
Betarazi pick
ES Zarzis to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultES Zarzis to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceES Zarzis or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.18
ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ES Hammam-Sousse travel to face ES Zarzis on Sunday 11 October in the Ligue 1, with Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, ES Zarzis are 13th, lower half, on 6 points after 7 matches; ES Hammam-Sousse are 16th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
ES Zarzis, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Africain, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
ES Hammam-Sousse, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Stade Tunisien, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours ES Zarzis, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for ES Hammam-Sousse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ES Zarzis 1.4 xG, ES Hammam-Sousse 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ES Zarzis 64%, draw 25%, ES Hammam-Sousse 11%.
Lower-risk option: ES Zarzis or draw (89%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was ES Zarzis to win (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Zarzis 1–0 ES Hammam-Sousse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ES Zarzis64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80
ES Hammam-Sousse11%fair 8.87 · @5.00
1.75Expected goals
1.38ES Zarzis xG
0.37ES Hammam-Sousse xG
44%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–017%
2–017%
1–19%
3–08%
0–16%
From our goals model: ES Zarzis 1.4 – 0.4 ES Hammam-Sousse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ES Zarzis to win✓
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Double chance
ES Zarzis or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.44
Draw no bet
ES Zarzis (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
ES Zarzis -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
ES Zarzis to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ES Zarzis / FT ES Zarzis✗
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.18
–
Recent results
ES Zarzis – last 6
LLLWLW
20 Sep
@ Club Africain
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs US Monastirienne
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Diambars
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Diambars
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ CS Sfaxien
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Olympique Béja
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ES Hammam-Sousse – last 6
LLLDLD
12 Sep
vs Stade Tunisien
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Club Africain
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs US Monastirienne
0–0
D
29 May
vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
2–3
L
11 May
@ CS Hammam-Lif
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Zarzis and ES Hammam-Sousse.
What is the prediction for ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
Our pick is ES Zarzis to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
On our numbers ES Zarzis have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ES Hammam-Sousse 11%.
How many goals will there be in ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
Our predicted score is ES Zarzis 1–0 ES Hammam-Sousse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
