US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Friday 23 October: US Ben Guerdane v Stade Tunisien in the Ligue 1, played at 7 March Stadium. In the table, US Ben Guerdane are 1st, leading the league, on 17 points after 7 matches; Stade Tunisien are 3rd (among the top four) with 13.
Current form
US Ben Guerdane, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over ES Hammam-Sousse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Stade Tunisien, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over ES Metlaoui, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours US Ben Guerdane, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Stade Tunisien.
Head to head
When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Stade Tunisien 0–0 US Ben Guerdane.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give US Ben Guerdane 1.4 xG, Stade Tunisien 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – US Ben Guerdane 35%, draw 28%, Stade Tunisien 36%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Ben Guerdane 1–1 Stade Tunisien. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
US Ben Guerdane35%fair 2.82 · @2.88
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.45
Stade Tunisien36%fair 2.74 · @2.80
2.90Expected goals
1.44US Ben Guerdane xG
1.46Stade Tunisien xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: US Ben Guerdane 1.4 – 1.5 Stade Tunisien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
On our numbers US Ben Guerdane have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Stade Tunisien 36%.
How many goals will there be in US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
Our predicted score is US Ben Guerdane 1–1 Stade Tunisien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at 7 March Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
