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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CA Bizertin v ES Hammam-Sousse: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Tunisia · Stade 15 Octobre

CA Bizertin

DLDWW
3–1
FT

ES Hammam-Sousse

LLLLL
CA Bizertin 63%Draw 25%ES Hammam-Sousse 12% Expected goals 1.17 – 0.28
63%
Betarazi pick

CA Bizertin to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultCA Bizertin to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceCA Bizertin or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.66

CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 23 October the Ligue 1 brings CA Bizertin against ES Hammam-Sousse at Stade 15 Octobre. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, CA Bizertin are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 7 matches; ES Hammam-Sousse are 16th (in the drop zone) with 1.

Current form

CA Bizertin, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with US Monastirienne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

ES Hammam-Sousse, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to US Ben Guerdane, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours CA Bizertin, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for ES Hammam-Sousse.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CA Bizertin 1.2 xG, ES Hammam-Sousse 0.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 82% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CA Bizertin 63%, draw 25%, ES Hammam-Sousse 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: CA Bizertin or draw (88%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CA Bizertin to win (63%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CA Bizertin 1–0 ES Hammam-Sousse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CA Bizertin63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.88
ES Hammam-Sousse12%fair 8.04 · @5.00
1.45Expected goals
1.17CA Bizertin xG
0.28ES Hammam-Sousse xG
41%Both score
18%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–027%
0–023%
2–016%
1–18%
0–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: CA Bizertin 1.2 – 0.3 ES Hammam-Sousse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCA Bizertin to win ✓63%1.601.75 ▲
Double chanceCA Bizertin or draw ✓88%1.141.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.711.50
Draw no betCA Bizertin (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapES Hammam-Sousse +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗57%1.74–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗94%1.06–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreCA Bizertin to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓56%1.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT CA Bizertin / FT CA Bizertin ✗34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27%3.66–

Recent results

CA Bizertin – last 6

DLDWWL
10 Octvs US Monastirienne0–0D
20 Sep@ CS Sfaxien0–2L
5 Sepvs Olympique Béja1–1D
30 Aug@ CS Hammam-Lif1–0W
23 Augvs AS Marsa1–0W
20 May@ ES Zarzis0–2L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

ES Hammam-Sousse – last 6

LLLLLD
17 Octvs US Ben Guerdane0–2L
11 Oct@ ES Zarzis0–2L
12 Sepvs Stade Tunisien1–3L
6 Sep@ ES Metlaoui0–1L
29 Aug@ Club Africain0–1L
22 Augvs US Monastirienne0–0D
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between CA Bizertin and ES Hammam-Sousse.

CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1US Ben Guerdane7520+617
2ES Tunis7511+416
3Stade Tunisien7412+313
4Club Africain7412+213
5Monastir7331+212
6Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer7331+312
7CA Bizertin7322+111
8CS Sfaxien7241+210
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane7241+110
10ES Sahel622208
11AS Marsa6132+16
12ES Metlaoui7205-56
13ES Zarzis7205-26
14CS Hammam-Lif7124-35
15Olympique Béja7034-53
16ES Hammam-Sousse7016-101

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub
FT AS Marsa1 CS Hammam-Lif1 147%2.05X26%2.62227%4.00 0.8–0.5xG NGNot both teams to score 56%@1.55 ✗
FT US Ben Guerdane1 Stade Tunisien0 135%2.88X28%2.45236%2.80 1.4–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse?

Our pick is CA Bizertin to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse?

On our numbers CA Bizertin have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ES Hammam-Sousse 12%.

How many goals will there be in CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 18% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse?

Our predicted score is CA Bizertin 1–0 ES Hammam-Sousse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse?

CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade 15 Octobre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.