Red Bull Salzburg v Pafos Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPafos to win ✗44% · @1.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.66

Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 6 August the UEFA Europa League brings Red Bull Salzburg against Pafos at Red Bull Arena. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Red Bull Salzburg, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over TSV Hartberg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Pafos, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over HNK Hajduk Split, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Red Bull Salzburg, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Pafos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Red Bull Salzburg 1.4 xG, Pafos 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Red Bull Salzburg 34%, draw 22%, Pafos 44%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 Pafos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Red Bull Salzburg34%fair 2.90 · @4.90

Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.90

Pafos44%fair 2.29 · @1.70

2.61Expected goals

1.43Red Bull Salzburg xG

1.18Pafos xG

60%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–19%

2–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: Red Bull Salzburg 1.4 – 1.2 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pafos to win ✗	44%	2.29	1.70
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.66	1.75 ▲
Draw no bet	Pafos (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.79	–
Asian handicap	Pafos +1 (Asian handicap)	74%	1.36	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	75%	1.34	1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.96	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	1.17
First team to score	Red Bull Salzburg to score first ✓	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Red Bull Salzburg / FT Red Bull Salzburg ✗	25%	3.97	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.66	–

Red Bull Salzburg – last 6

WWLLWW

1 Aug	vs TSV Hartberg	1–0	W
25 Jul	@ Oberwart	7–1	W
15 Jul	vs Başakşehir	1–2	L
15 Jul	vs Gamba Osaka	0–3	L
9 Jul	vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	4–0	W
4 Jul	vs Gornik Zabrze	2–1	W

2.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Pafos – last 6

WLLLDW

30 Jul	vs HNK Hajduk Split	2–0	W
23 Jul	@ HNK Hajduk Split	0–2	L
16 Jul	@ Slovan Bratislava	2–3	L
12 Jul	@ Jagiellonia	0–1	L
8 Jul	@ FK Jablonec	0–0	D
3 Jul	@ Cracovia Krakow	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	0	7
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	+3	6
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	+3	6
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	+1	6
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	-2	6
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+5	5
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	+3	5
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	0	4
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	0	4
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	-3	4
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	-4	4
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	-5	4
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	-2	3
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	-3	3
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	-3	3
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-4	3
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	-5	3
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	-7	1
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	-8	1
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-10	1
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Team

Pts

+10

-1

-1

-1

-2

-3

-4

-5

-2

-3

-3

-4

-4

-5

-7

-8

-10

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?

On our numbers Red Bull Salzburg have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pafos 44%.

How many goals will there be in Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?

Our predicted score is Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos?

Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Red Bull Salzburg v Pafos: numbers & prediction