PAOK vs Anderlecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Thursday 6 August: PAOK v Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League, played at Toumba Stadium.
Current form
PAOK, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dynamo Kyiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Anderlecht, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Hammarby FF, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours PAOK, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Anderlecht.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PAOK 1.6 xG, Anderlecht 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PAOK 53%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 23%.
Lower-risk option: PAOK or draw (77%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAOK 1–1 Anderlecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PAOK53%fair 1.89 · @1.68
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.80
Anderlecht23%fair 4.41 · @4.80
2.83Expected goals
1.63PAOK xG
1.20Anderlecht xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: PAOK 1.6 – 1.2 Anderlecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✗
53%
1.89
1.68
Double chance
PAOK or draw✗
77%
1.29
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.83
Draw no bet
PAOK (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Anderlecht +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.10
First team to score
PAOK to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
PAOK – last 6
WWLWWW
30 Jul
vs Dynamo Kyiv
2–0
W
23 Jul
@ Dynamo Kyiv
3–2
W
11 Jul
vs Twente
2–3
L
7 Jul
vs AEK Larnaca
3–2
W
4 Jul
vs KVC Westerlo
4–0
W
1 Jul
vs SK Beveren
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Anderlecht – last 6
WDWDLW
30 Jul
vs Hammarby FF
3–1
W
23 Jul
@ Hammarby FF
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs NEC Nijmegen
3–2
W
4 Jul
vs Boulogne
0–0
D
24 May
@ Union St. Gilloise
1–5
L
21 May
vs St. Truiden
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAOK and Anderlecht.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win PAOK vs Anderlecht?
On our numbers PAOK have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Anderlecht 23%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs Anderlecht?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs Anderlecht?
Our predicted score is PAOK 1–1 Anderlecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs Anderlecht?
PAOK vs Anderlecht (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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