Value bet: Ospitaletto to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOspitaletto to win ✗38% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.64
Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Monday 31 August: Albinoleffe v Ospitaletto in the Serie C Girone A, played at AlbinoLeffe. In the table, Albinoleffe are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Ospitaletto are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Albinoleffe, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Giana Erminio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Ospitaletto, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lumezzane, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Albinoleffe, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Ospitaletto.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albinoleffe 1.2 xG, Ospitaletto 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albinoleffe 38%, draw 24%, Ospitaletto 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Ospitaletto to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albinoleffe 1–1 Ospitaletto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albinoleffe38%fair 2.64 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.95
Ospitaletto38%fair 2.64 · @3.25
2.44Expected goals
1.22Albinoleffe xG
1.22Ospitaletto xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Albinoleffe 1.2 – 1.2 Ospitaletto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ospitaletto to win✗
38%
2.64
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.83
Draw no bet
Ospitaletto (draw no bet)
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Albinoleffe +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Ospitaletto to score first
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ospitaletto / FT Ospitaletto✗
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.64
–
Recent results
Albinoleffe – last 6
WLWLWW
22 Aug
@ Giana Erminio
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Scanzorosciate
3–0
W
2 Aug
vs Inter U23
1–2
L
29 Jul
@ Arezzo
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Triestina
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ospitaletto – last 6
WLDWLD
22 Aug
vs Lumezzane
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Trento
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Rovato Vertovese
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Padova
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ PRO Vercelli
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Virtus Verona
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albinoleffe and Ospitaletto.
What is the prediction for Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto?
On our numbers Albinoleffe have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ospitaletto 38%.
How many goals will there be in Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto?
Our predicted score is Albinoleffe 1–1 Ospitaletto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto?
Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.