Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultNovara to win ✗50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Novara vs Folgore Caratese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Novara welcome Folgore Caratese to Stadio Silvio Piola for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Monday 31 August (19:30 WAT). In the table, Novara are 14th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Folgore Caratese are 20th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Novara, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juventus U23, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Folgore Caratese, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dolomiti Bellunesi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novara 1.3 xG, Folgore Caratese 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novara 50%, draw 24%, Folgore Caratese 26%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novara 1–1 Folgore Caratese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novara50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Folgore Caratese26%fair 3.88 · @3.75
2.15Expected goals
1.32Novara xG
0.83Folgore Caratese xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Novara 1.3 – 0.8 Folgore Caratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novara to win✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.95
Draw no bet
Novara (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Folgore Caratese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Novara to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novara / FT Novara✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Novara – last 6
LWLWLL
22 Aug
@ Juventus U23
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Alcione
1–0
W
5 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Sampdoria
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Cittadella
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Lumezzane
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Folgore Caratese – last 6
LDDDLW
24 Aug
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Giana Erminio
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Sassuolo
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Arezzo
1–1
D
17 May
@ Vado
0–3
L
13 May
vs Treviso
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novara and Folgore Caratese.
What is the prediction for Novara vs Folgore Caratese?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Novara vs Folgore Caratese?
On our numbers Novara have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Folgore Caratese 26%.
How many goals will there be in Novara vs Folgore Caratese?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novara vs Folgore Caratese?
Our predicted score is Novara 1–1 Folgore Caratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Novara vs Folgore Caratese?
Novara vs Folgore Caratese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Silvio Piola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
