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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lumezzane v Giana Erminio: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone A · Italy · Tullio Saleri
1–0
FT
Lumezzane 40%Draw 24%Giana Erminio 36% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.15
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLumezzane to win ✓40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28

Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Giana Erminio travel to face Lumezzane on Sunday 30 August in the Serie C Girone A, with Tullio Saleri the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Lumezzane are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Giana Erminio are 16th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Lumezzane, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ospitaletto, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Giana Erminio, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Albinoleffe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Lumezzane 1–0 Giana Erminio.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lumezzane 1.2 xG, Giana Erminio 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lumezzane 40%, draw 24%, Giana Erminio 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lumezzane 1–1 Giana Erminio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lumezzane40%fair 2.49 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.95
Giana Erminio36%fair 2.81 · @2.90
2.40Expected goals
1.25Lumezzane xG
1.15Giana Erminio xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Lumezzane 1.2 – 1.2 Giana Erminio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLumezzane to win ✓40%2.492.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.91 ▲
Draw no betLumezzane (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapGiana Erminio +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.501.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreLumezzane to score first ✓47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lumezzane / FT Lumezzane ✓22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.28–

Recent results

Lumezzane – last 6

LDDLWD
22 Aug@ Ospitaletto0–2L
15 Augvs Renate2–2D
1 Aug@ Cremonese0–0D
6 May@ Cittadella0–1L
3 Apr@ Novara3–1W
28 Marvs Albinoleffe1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Giana Erminio – last 6

LDLLWD
22 Augvs Albinoleffe1–2L
16 Augvs Folgore Caratese1–1D
24 Jul@ Cremonese0–4L
6 May@ Lecco1–2L
19 Aprvs Inter U232–0W
6 Aprvs Dolomiti Bellunesi1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Lumezzane v Giana Erminio1–0
Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cittadella131012+1331
2Union Brescia13841+1528
3Trento13760+1227
4Ospitaletto13643+822
5Treviso13643+522
6Arzignano Valchiampo13634+421
7Lecco13553+1120
8Alcione13463+218
9Albinoleffe13454+117
10Pergolettese13454-117
11Lumezzane13445-316
12PRO Vercelli13445-716
13Desenzano Calvina13346-513
14Novara13346-713
15Athletic Carpi13346-1013
16Giana Erminio13265-412
17Renate13256-111
18Juventus U2313256-1111
19Dolomiti Bellunesi13247-1210
20Folgore Caratese13157-108

More Serie C Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?

On our numbers Lumezzane have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Giana Erminio 36%.

How many goals will there be in Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?

Our predicted score is Lumezzane 1–1 Giana Erminio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?

Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tullio Saleri.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.