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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pergolettese v Union Brescia: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone A · Italy · Giuseppe Voltini
0–1
FT
Pergolettese 15%Draw 22%Union Brescia 63% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.89
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUnion Brescia to win ✓63% · @1.48
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Pergolettese vs Union Brescia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Pergolettese v Union Brescia in the Serie C Girone A, played at Giuseppe Voltini. In the table, Pergolettese are 10th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Union Brescia are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.

Current form

Pergolettese, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cittadella, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Union Brescia, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Athletic Carpi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended Pergolettese 2–1 Union Brescia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pergolettese 0.8 xG, Union Brescia 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pergolettese 15%, draw 22%, Union Brescia 63%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pergolettese 0–2 Union Brescia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pergolettese15%fair 6.75 · @6.80
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Union Brescia63%fair 1.59 · @1.48
2.69Expected goals
0.80Pergolettese xG
1.89Union Brescia xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%

From our goals model: Pergolettese 0.8 – 1.9 Union Brescia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Brescia to win ✓63%1.591.48
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓85%1.171.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.932.25 ▲
Draw no betUnion Brescia (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapUnion Brescia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreUnion Brescia to score first ✓66%1.53–
Half-time resultUnion Brescia ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Brescia / FT Union Brescia ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Pergolettese – last 6

LDDDLW
22 Aug@ Cittadella0–2L
14 Aug@ PRO Vercelli1–1D
9 Augvs Inter U230–0D
19 Apr@ Vicenza Virtus0–0D
6 Apr@ Albinoleffe0–3L
3 Marvs PRO Vercelli2–1W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Union Brescia – last 6

WLDLDW
21 Augvs Athletic Carpi3–1W
9 Aug@ Arezzo0–2L
1 Aug@ Pro Palazzolo1–1D
7 Jun@ Ascoli0–3L
3 Junvs Ascoli1–1D
27 Mayvs Salernitana2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Feb 2026Pergolettese v Union Brescia2–1
Pergolettese vs Union Brescia head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cittadella131012+1331
2Union Brescia13841+1528
3Trento13760+1227
4Ospitaletto13643+822
5Treviso13643+522
6Arzignano Valchiampo13634+421
7Lecco13553+1120
8Alcione13463+218
9Albinoleffe13454+117
10Pergolettese13454-117
11Lumezzane13445-316
12PRO Vercelli13445-716
13Desenzano Calvina13346-513
14Novara13346-713
15Athletic Carpi13346-1013
16Giana Erminio13265-412
17Renate13256-111
18Juventus U2313256-1111
19Dolomiti Bellunesi13247-1210
20Folgore Caratese13157-108

More Serie C Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?

On our numbers Pergolettese have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union Brescia 63%.

How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?

Our predicted score is Pergolettese 0–2 Union Brescia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?

Pergolettese vs Union Brescia (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.