Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Brescia to win ✓63% · @1.48
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Pergolettese vs Union Brescia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Pergolettese v Union Brescia in the Serie C Girone A, played at Giuseppe Voltini. In the table, Pergolettese are 10th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Union Brescia are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Pergolettese, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cittadella, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Union Brescia, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Athletic Carpi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended Pergolettese 2–1 Union Brescia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pergolettese 0.8 xG, Union Brescia 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pergolettese 15%, draw 22%, Union Brescia 63%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pergolettese 0–2 Union Brescia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pergolettese15%fair 6.75 · @6.80
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Union Brescia63%fair 1.59 · @1.48
2.69Expected goals
0.80Pergolettese xG
1.89Union Brescia xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pergolettese 0.8 – 1.9 Union Brescia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
On our numbers Pergolettese have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union Brescia 63%.
How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
Our predicted score is Pergolettese 0–2 Union Brescia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
Pergolettese vs Union Brescia (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.