Union Brescia 65%Draw 25%Desenzano Calvina 11%Expected goals 1.39 – 0.36
65%
Betarazi pick
Union Brescia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion Brescia to win ✓65% · @1.60
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓24% · fair 4.13
Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Brescia welcome Desenzano Calvina to Stadio Mario Rigamonti for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Sunday 6 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Union Brescia are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Desenzano Calvina are 13th (lower half) with 13. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union Brescia, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Giana Erminio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Desenzano Calvina, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Trento, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Union Brescia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Desenzano Calvina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Brescia 1.4 xG, Desenzano Calvina 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Brescia 65%, draw 25%, Desenzano Calvina 11%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Brescia to win (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Brescia 1–0 Desenzano Calvina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Brescia65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.20
Desenzano Calvina11%fair 9.43 · @5.50
1.75Expected goals
1.39Union Brescia xG
0.36Desenzano Calvina xG
44%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–017%
2–017%
1–19%
3–08%
0–16%
From our goals model: Union Brescia 1.4 – 0.4 Desenzano Calvina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Brescia to win✓
65%
1.54
1.60
Double chance
Union Brescia or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.60
Draw no bet
Union Brescia (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Union Brescia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Union Brescia to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Brescia / FT Union Brescia✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
24%
4.13
–
Recent results
Union Brescia – last 6
WWWLDL
2 Sep
vs Giana Erminio
5–2
W
30 Aug
@ Pergolettese
1–0
W
21 Aug
vs Athletic Carpi
3–1
W
9 Aug
@ Arezzo
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Pro Palazzolo
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Ascoli
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Desenzano Calvina – last 6
WDDDLD
3 Sep
@ Trento
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Trento
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ PRO Vercelli
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Lecco
0–0
D
31 May
@ Scafatese
0–1
L
24 May
vs Scafatese
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Brescia and Desenzano Calvina.
What is the prediction for Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina?
Our pick is Union Brescia to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina?
On our numbers Union Brescia have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Desenzano Calvina 11%.
How many goals will there be in Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina?
Our predicted score is Union Brescia 1–0 Desenzano Calvina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina?
Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
