Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cittadella to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCittadella to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.07
Cittadella vs Lumezzane: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Serie C Girone A brings Cittadella against Lumezzane at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Cittadella are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 13 matches; Lumezzane are 11th (lower half) with 16. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cittadella, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Renate, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lumezzane, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Giana Erminio, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cittadella, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Lumezzane.
Head to head
When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Cittadella 1–0 Lumezzane.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cittadella 1.1 xG, Lumezzane 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cittadella 59%, draw 22%, Lumezzane 19%.
Lower-risk option: Cittadella or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Cittadella to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cittadella or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cittadella 1–0 Lumezzane. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cittadella59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.00
Lumezzane19%fair 5.30 · @4.20
1.50Expected goals
1.10Cittadella xG
0.40Lumezzane xG
44%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–022%
2–014%
1–110%
0–19%
2–15%
From our goals model: Cittadella 1.1 – 0.4 Lumezzane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cittadella vs Lumezzane?
Our pick is Cittadella or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cittadella vs Lumezzane?
On our numbers Cittadella have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lumezzane 19%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Lumezzane?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Lumezzane?
Our predicted score is Cittadella 1–0 Lumezzane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Cittadella vs Lumezzane?
Cittadella vs Lumezzane (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
