Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Trento to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTrento to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceTrento or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓32% · fair 3.15
Trento vs Lecco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Monday 7 September: Trento v Lecco in the Serie C Girone A, played at Stadio Briamasco. In the table, Trento are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 13 matches; Lecco are 7th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Trento, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Desenzano Calvina, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lecco, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Treviso, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Trento, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Lecco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trento 0.9 xG, Lecco 0.1 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trento 61%, draw 26%, Lecco 13%.
Lower-risk option: Trento or draw (87%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Trento to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Trento or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trento 0–0 Lecco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trento61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.88
Lecco13%fair 7.46 · @3.75
1.00Expected goals
0.86Trento xG
0.14Lecco xG
39%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
1–032%
2–014%
0–15%
1–14%
3–04%
From our goals model: Trento 0.9 – 0.1 Lecco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trento to win✓
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Trento or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Trento (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Lecco +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
Trento to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
32%
3.15
–
Recent results
Trento – last 6
LDWWLL
3 Sep
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Treviso
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Ospitaletto
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Modena
0–1
L
19 Jul
@ Genoa
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lecco – last 6
LDDLLD
31 Aug
@ Treviso
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Atalanta II
2–3
L
2 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
0–3
L
20 May
@ Catania
3–3
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trento and Lecco.
Our pick is Trento or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Trento vs Lecco?
On our numbers Trento have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lecco 13%.
How many goals will there be in Trento vs Lecco?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trento vs Lecco?
Our predicted score is Trento 0–0 Lecco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Trento vs Lecco?
Trento vs Lecco (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Briamasco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
