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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arzignano Valchiampo v Pergolettese: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone A · Italy · Tommaso Dal Molin
Arzignano Valchiampo 55%Draw 23%Pergolettese 22% Expected goals 1.03 – 0.47
78%
Betarazi pick

Arzignano Valchiampo or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultArzignano Valchiampo to win ✗55% · @1.91
Double chanceArzignano Valchiampo or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.35

Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arzignano Valchiampo welcome Pergolettese to Tommaso Dal Molin for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Saturday 3 October (16:30 WAT). In the table, Arzignano Valchiampo are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Pergolettese are 10th (upper half) with 17.

Current form

Arzignano Valchiampo, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Athletic Carpi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Pergolettese, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Trento, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Arzignano Valchiampo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Pergolettese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arzignano Valchiampo 1.0 xG, Pergolettese 0.5 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arzignano Valchiampo 55%, draw 23%, Pergolettese 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Arzignano Valchiampo or draw (78%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Arzignano Valchiampo or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arzignano Valchiampo 1–0 Pergolettese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arzignano Valchiampo55%fair 1.83 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.10
Pergolettese22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
1.50Expected goals
1.03Arzignano Valchiampo xG
0.47Pergolettese xG
47%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–023%
0–022%
2–012%
1–111%
0–110%
2–16%

From our goals model: Arzignano Valchiampo 1.0 – 0.5 Pergolettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArzignano Valchiampo to win ✗55%1.831.91
Double chanceArzignano Valchiampo or draw ✓78%1.281.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.881.80
Draw no betArzignano Valchiampo (draw no bet)71%1.41–
Asian handicapPergolettese +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreArzignano Valchiampo to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗57%1.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗28%3.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23%4.35–

Recent results

Arzignano Valchiampo – last 6

WWWLLD
27 Sep@ Athletic Carpi3–0W
20 Sepvs Renate2–1W
17 Sep@ Albinoleffe2–1W
13 Sepvs Desenzano Calvina1–2L
6 Sep@ Ospitaletto1–3L
2 Sepvs Dolomiti Bellunesi2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Pergolettese – last 6

DDDWDL
26 Sepvs Trento0–0D
20 Sep@ Lecco0–0D
17 Sepvs Folgore Caratese0–0D
13 Sep@ Novara1–0W
6 Sep@ Juventus U230–0D
30 Augvs Union Brescia0–1L
0.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arzignano Valchiampo and Pergolettese.

Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cittadella131012+1331
2Union Brescia13841+1528
3Trento13760+1227
4Ospitaletto13643+822
5Treviso13643+522
6Arzignano Valchiampo13634+421
7Lecco13553+1120
8Alcione13463+218
9Albinoleffe13454+117
10Pergolettese13454-117
11Lumezzane13445-316
12PRO Vercelli13445-716
13Desenzano Calvina13346-513
14Novara13346-713
15Athletic Carpi13346-1013
16Giana Erminio13265-412
17Renate13256-111
18Juventus U2313256-1111
19Dolomiti Bellunesi13247-1210
20Folgore Caratese13157-108

More Serie C Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?

Our pick is Arzignano Valchiampo or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?

On our numbers Arzignano Valchiampo have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pergolettese 22%.

How many goals will there be in Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?

Our predicted score is Arzignano Valchiampo 1–0 Pergolettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?

Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Tommaso Dal Molin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.