Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Union Brescia to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Brescia to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.65
Lecco vs Union Brescia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Serie C Girone A brings Lecco against Union Brescia at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Lecco are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Union Brescia are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Lecco, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cittadella, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Union Brescia, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dolomiti Bellunesi, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Union Brescia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Lecco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lecco 0.5 xG, Union Brescia 1.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lecco 16%, draw 21%, Union Brescia 63%.
Lower-risk option: Union Brescia or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Union Brescia to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Brescia or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lecco 0–1 Union Brescia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lecco16%fair 6.26 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.20
Union Brescia63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
1.86Expected goals
0.48Lecco xG
1.38Union Brescia xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–122%
0–016%
0–215%
1–110%
1–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lecco 0.5 – 1.4 Union Brescia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Brescia to win✗
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Union Brescia or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.73
Draw no bet
Union Brescia (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Lecco +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Union Brescia to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Brescia / FT Union Brescia✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
22%
4.65
–
Recent results
Lecco – last 6
LDWWLL
26 Sep
@ Cittadella
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Pergolettese
0–0
D
17 Sep
@ Desenzano Calvina
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Giana Erminio
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Trento
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Treviso
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union Brescia – last 6
DWDDWW
27 Sep
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Alcione
4–0
W
17 Sep
vs Treviso
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Trento
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Desenzano Calvina
1–0
W
2 Sep
vs Giana Erminio
5–2
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecco and Union Brescia.
What is the prediction for Lecco vs Union Brescia?
Our pick is Union Brescia or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lecco vs Union Brescia?
On our numbers Lecco have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union Brescia 63%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Union Brescia?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Union Brescia?
Our predicted score is Lecco 0–1 Union Brescia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Union Brescia?
Lecco vs Union Brescia (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
