Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Treviso to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTreviso to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceTreviso or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.60
Treviso vs Giana Erminio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Treviso v Giana Erminio in the Serie C Girone A. In the table, Treviso are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Giana Erminio are 16th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Treviso, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Renate, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Giana Erminio, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with PRO Vercelli, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Treviso, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Giana Erminio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Treviso 1.5 xG, Giana Erminio 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Treviso 62%, draw 20%, Giana Erminio 18%.
Lower-risk option: Treviso or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Treviso to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Treviso or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treviso 1–0 Giana Erminio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Treviso62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.40
Giana Erminio18%fair 5.56 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.52Treviso xG
0.62Giana Erminio xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Treviso 1.5 – 0.6 Giana Erminio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Treviso to win✗
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Treviso or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Draw no bet
Treviso (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Giana Erminio +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Treviso to score first✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Treviso / FT Treviso✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.60
–
Recent results
Treviso – last 6
WDDWDW
27 Sep
@ Renate
1–0
W
21 Sep
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
17 Sep
@ Union Brescia
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs PRO Vercelli
2–1
W
7 Sep
@ Alcione
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Lecco
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Giana Erminio – last 6
DDDLLL
26 Sep
vs PRO Vercelli
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
17 Sep
vs Trento
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Lecco
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Union Brescia
2–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Treviso and Giana Erminio.
What is the prediction for Treviso vs Giana Erminio?
Our pick is Treviso or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Treviso vs Giana Erminio?
On our numbers Treviso have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Giana Erminio 18%.
How many goals will there be in Treviso vs Giana Erminio?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treviso vs Giana Erminio?
Our predicted score is Treviso 1–0 Giana Erminio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Treviso vs Giana Erminio?
Treviso vs Giana Erminio (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
