Trento v Folgore Caratese Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTrento to win ✓61% · @1.73

Double chanceTrento or draw ✓82% · @1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.27

Trento vs Folgore Caratese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Trento v Folgore Caratese in the Serie C Girone A, played at Stadio Briamasco. In the table, Trento are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 13 matches; Folgore Caratese are 20th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Trento, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Alcione, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Folgore Caratese, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Desenzano Calvina, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Trento, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Folgore Caratese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trento 1.6 xG, Folgore Caratese 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Trento 61%, draw 22%, Folgore Caratese 18%.
Lower-risk option: Trento or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Trento to win (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trento 1–0 Folgore Caratese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trento61%fair 1.65 · @1.73

Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.10

Folgore Caratese18%fair 5.65 · @4.50

2.31Expected goals

1.61Trento xG

0.70Folgore Caratese xG

50%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

2–013%

1–111%

0–010%

2–19%

0–17%

From our goals model: Trento 1.6 – 0.7 Folgore Caratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Trento to win ✓	61%	1.65	1.73
Double chance	Trento or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.18
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	50%	1.99	1.75
Draw no bet	Trento (draw no bet) ✓	77%	1.29	–
Asian handicap	Folgore Caratese +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.69	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	–
First team to score	Trento to score first ✓	63%	1.60	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Trento / FT Trento ✗	36%	2.76	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	16%	6.27	–

Trento – last 6

DDWDDW

4 Oct	@ Alcione	2–2	D
26 Sep	@ Pergolettese	0–0	D
21 Sep	vs PRO Vercelli	4–0	W
17 Sep	@ Giana Erminio	2–2	D
13 Sep	vs Union Brescia	0–0	D
7 Sep	vs Lecco	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Folgore Caratese – last 6

LWDDLL

3 Oct	vs Desenzano Calvina	1–2	L
26 Sep	@ Lumezzane	2–1	W
20 Sep	vs Giana Erminio	1–1	D
17 Sep	@ Pergolettese	0–0	D
13 Sep	vs Alcione	2–3	L
7 Sep	@ PRO Vercelli	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trento vs Folgore Caratese?

Our pick is Trento to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Trento vs Folgore Caratese?

On our numbers Trento have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Folgore Caratese 18%.

How many goals will there be in Trento vs Folgore Caratese?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trento vs Folgore Caratese?

Our predicted score is Trento 1–0 Folgore Caratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Trento vs Folgore Caratese?

Trento vs Folgore Caratese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Briamasco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Trento v Folgore Caratese: numbers & prediction