Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Alcione to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlcione to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceAlcione or draw ✗84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Alcione vs Athletic Carpi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Alcione v Athletic Carpi in the Serie C Girone A, played at Stadio Ernesto Breda. In the table, Alcione are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Athletic Carpi are 15th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Alcione, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Desenzano Calvina, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Athletic Carpi, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lumezzane, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcione 2.2 xG, Athletic Carpi 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcione 61%, draw 23%, Athletic Carpi 16%.
Lower-risk option: Alcione or draw (84%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Alcione to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alcione or draw (84%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcione 2–1 Athletic Carpi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcione61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.10
Athletic Carpi16%fair 6.11 · @3.30
3.30Expected goals
2.20Alcione xG
1.10Athletic Carpi xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Alcione 2.2 – 1.1 Athletic Carpi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcione to win✗
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Alcione or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Draw no bet
Alcione (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Alcione -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Alcione to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Alcione ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcione / FT Alcione✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Alcione – last 6
WDDDLD
18 Oct
vs Desenzano Calvina
4–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lecco
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Trento
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Albinoleffe
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Union Brescia
0–4
L
17 Sep
@ PRO Vercelli
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Athletic Carpi – last 6
WLLLDD
17 Oct
vs Lumezzane
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Pergolettese
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ PRO Vercelli
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Novara
2–2
D
17 Sep
vs Ospitaletto
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcione and Athletic Carpi.
What is the prediction for Alcione vs Athletic Carpi?
Our pick is Alcione or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Alcione vs Athletic Carpi?
On our numbers Alcione have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Athletic Carpi 16%.
How many goals will there be in Alcione vs Athletic Carpi?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcione vs Athletic Carpi?
Our predicted score is Alcione 2–1 Athletic Carpi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Alcione vs Athletic Carpi?
Alcione vs Athletic Carpi (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
