Union Brescia 56%Draw 27%Cittadella 17%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.74
83%
Betarazi pick
Union Brescia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Union Brescia to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion Brescia to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.40
Union Brescia vs Cittadella: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Union Brescia v Cittadella in the Serie C Girone A, played at Stadio Mario Rigamonti. In the table, Union Brescia are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Cittadella are 1st (leading the league) with 31. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Union Brescia, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Giana Erminio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Cittadella, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Arzignano Valchiampo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cittadella, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Union Brescia.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Union Brescia 2–1 Cittadella.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Brescia 1.6 xG, Cittadella 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Brescia 56%, draw 27%, Cittadella 17%.
Lower-risk option: Union Brescia or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Union Brescia to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Brescia or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Brescia 1–0 Cittadella. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Brescia56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.90
Cittadella17%fair 5.97 · @3.50
2.30Expected goals
1.56Union Brescia xG
0.74Cittadella xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Union Brescia 1.6 – 0.7 Cittadella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
Our pick is Union Brescia or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
On our numbers Union Brescia have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cittadella 17%.
How many goals will there be in Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
Our predicted score is Union Brescia 1–0 Cittadella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
Union Brescia vs Cittadella (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
