Value bet: Grosseto to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGrosseto to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.11
Grosseto vs Perugia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grosseto welcome Perugia to Stadio Carlo Zecchini for a Serie C Girone B fixture on Sunday 20 September (19:30 WAT). In the table, Grosseto are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 13 matches; Perugia are 12th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Grosseto, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Campobasso FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Perugia, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Spezia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grosseto 1.3 xG, Perugia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grosseto 40%, draw 23%, Perugia 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Grosseto to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grosseto 1–1 Perugia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grosseto40%fair 2.47 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Perugia37%fair 2.72 · @2.30
2.50Expected goals
1.29Grosseto xG
1.21Perugia xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Grosseto 1.3 – 1.2 Perugia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grosseto to win✓
40%
2.47
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Draw no bet
Grosseto (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Perugia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Grosseto to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grosseto / FT Grosseto✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.11
–
Recent results
Grosseto – last 6
DDLWWD
16 Sep
vs Campobasso FC
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Pianese
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Latina
1–4
L
6 Sep
vs Torres
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Ostia Mare
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Spezia
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Perugia – last 6
LLWDWL
16 Sep
vs Spezia
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Ravenna
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Pineto
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Vis Pesaro
2–2
D
23 Aug
vs Ostia Mare
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Vis Pesaro
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grosseto and Perugia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Grosseto vs Perugia?
On our numbers Grosseto have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Perugia 37%.
How many goals will there be in Grosseto vs Perugia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grosseto vs Perugia?
Our predicted score is Grosseto 1–1 Perugia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Grosseto vs Perugia?
Grosseto vs Perugia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Zecchini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
