Gubbio 43%Draw 24%Ostia Mare 33%Expected goals 1.67 – 1.43
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultGubbio to win ✗43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Gubbio vs Ostia Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ostia Mare travel to face Gubbio on Sunday 20 September in the Serie C Girone B, with Stadio Pietro Barbetti the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Gubbio are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Ostia Mare are 18th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gubbio, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pescara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Ostia Mare, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ravenna, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gubbio, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Ostia Mare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gubbio 1.7 xG, Ostia Mare 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gubbio 43%, draw 24%, Ostia Mare 33%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gubbio 1–1 Ostia Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gubbio43%fair 2.32 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Ostia Mare33%fair 3.05 · @2.80
3.10Expected goals
1.67Gubbio xG
1.43Ostia Mare xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Gubbio 1.7 – 1.4 Ostia Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gubbio to win✗
43%
2.32
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Gubbio (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Ostia Mare +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Gubbio to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gubbio / FT Gubbio✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Gubbio – last 6
DWWWLL
16 Sep
@ Pescara
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Latina
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Campobasso FC
4–2
W
2 Sep
vs Vis Pesaro
5–0
W
30 Aug
vs Reggiana
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ostia Mare – last 6
LLWLLD
16 Sep
vs Ravenna
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Torres
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Vis Pesaro
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Grosseto
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Perugia
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Latina
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gubbio and Ostia Mare.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gubbio vs Ostia Mare?
On our numbers Gubbio have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ostia Mare 33%.
How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Ostia Mare?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gubbio vs Ostia Mare?
Our predicted score is Gubbio 1–1 Ostia Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Gubbio vs Ostia Mare?
Gubbio vs Ostia Mare (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
