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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 v Livorno: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Citta dell Aria
1–1
FT

Livorno

WLWDD
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 41%Draw 25%Livorno 34% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.02
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.72

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 welcome Livorno to Stadio Citta dell Aria for a Serie C Girone B fixture on Monday 21 September (19:30 WAT). In the table, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Livorno are 8th (upper half) with 20. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Guidonia Montecelio 1937, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Latina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Livorno, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vado, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.2 xG, Livorno 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guidonia Montecelio 1937 41%, draw 25%, Livorno 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–1 Livorno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guidonia Montecelio 193741%fair 2.41 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.75
Livorno34%fair 2.98 · @3.00
2.20Expected goals
1.18Guidonia Montecelio 1937 xG
1.02Livorno xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.2 – 1.0 Livorno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✗41%2.412.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.95
Draw no betGuidonia Montecelio 1937 (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapLivorno +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 / FT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 ✗22%4.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.72–

Recent results

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 – last 6

DDWLWW
16 Sep@ Latina1–1D
12 Sepvs Reggiana1–1D
5 Sepvs Pianese1–0W
30 Aug@ Atalanta II1–2L
22 Augvs Gubbio3–0W
14 Aug@ Grosseto3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Livorno – last 6

WLWDDW
16 Sepvs Vado3–2W
12 Sep@ Spezia0–2L
6 Sepvs Atalanta II1–0W
3 Sep@ Novara0–0D
29 Aug@ Pineto0–0D
24 Augvs Torres2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and Livorno.

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spezia131120+1935
2Ravenna13922+1729
3Grosseto13652+823
4Pescara13643+422
5Torres13643+322
6Reggiana13625+420
7Guidonia Montecelio 193713553+320
8Livorno13553+120
9Campobasso FC13544-219
10Atalanta II13607-318
11Pineto13454-217
12Perugia13526-317
13Vado13445-116
14Forli13364-115
15Latina13364-215
16Pianese13274-313
17Sambenedettese13247-510
18Ostia Mare13238-99
19Gubbio13229-128
20Vis Pesaro131210-165

More Serie C Girone B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno?

On our numbers Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Livorno 34%.

How many goals will there be in Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno?

Our predicted score is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–1 Livorno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno?

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Citta dell Aria.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.