Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.25
Spezia vs Vis Pesaro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Monday 21 September: Spezia v Vis Pesaro in the Serie C Girone B, played at Stadio Alberto Picco. In the table, Spezia are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 13 matches; Vis Pesaro are 20th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spezia, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Perugia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Vis Pesaro, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Reggiana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Spezia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.2 for Vis Pesaro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spezia 2.2 xG, Vis Pesaro 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spezia 73%, draw 20%, Vis Pesaro 7%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spezia to win (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spezia 2–0 Vis Pesaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spezia73%fair 1.37 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.80
Vis Pesaro7%fair 13.84 · @12.00
2.80Expected goals
2.20Spezia xG
0.60Vis Pesaro xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%
From our goals model: Spezia 2.2 – 0.6 Vis Pesaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spezia to win✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Double chance
Spezia or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.67
Draw no bet
Spezia (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Spezia -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Spezia to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Spezia ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spezia / FT Spezia✓
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
11%
9.25
–
Recent results
Spezia – last 6
WWWWWD
16 Sep
@ Perugia
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Livorno
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Sambenedettese
2–1
W
2 Sep
vs Vado
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Campobasso FC
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Grosseto
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vis Pesaro – last 6
LLLLDL
16 Sep
vs Reggiana
1–4
L
12 Sep
@ Forli
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Ostia Mare
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Gubbio
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Perugia
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Pescara
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spezia and Vis Pesaro.
Our pick is Spezia to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spezia vs Vis Pesaro?
On our numbers Spezia have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vis Pesaro 7%.
How many goals will there be in Spezia vs Vis Pesaro?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spezia vs Vis Pesaro?
Our predicted score is Spezia 2–0 Vis Pesaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Spezia vs Vis Pesaro?
Spezia vs Vis Pesaro (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
