Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultLivorno to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceLivorno or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.56
Livorno vs Pianese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Livorno welcome Pianese to Stadio Armando Picchi for a Serie C Girone B fixture on Saturday 26 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Livorno are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Pianese are 16th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Livorno, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guidonia Montecelio 1937, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pianese, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sambenedettese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Livorno, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Pianese.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Livorno 1–2 Pianese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Livorno 1.5 xG, Pianese 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Livorno 61%, draw 22%, Pianese 17%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livorno 1–0 Pianese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Livorno61%fair 1.63 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Pianese17%fair 5.90 · @4.33
2.13Expected goals
1.52Livorno xG
0.61Pianese xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Livorno 1.5 – 0.6 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Livorno vs Pianese?
On our numbers Livorno have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pianese 17%.
How many goals will there be in Livorno vs Pianese?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livorno vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Livorno 1–0 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Livorno vs Pianese?
Livorno vs Pianese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Armando Picchi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
