Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultGrosseto to win ✗57% · @1.67
Double chanceGrosseto or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Grosseto vs Sambenedettese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Grosseto v Sambenedettese in the Serie C Girone B, played at Stadio Carlo Zecchini. In the table, Grosseto are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 13 matches; Sambenedettese are 17th (lower half) with 10. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Grosseto, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Pineto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sambenedettese, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Campobasso FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Grosseto, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Sambenedettese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grosseto 1.8 xG, Sambenedettese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grosseto 57%, draw 23%, Sambenedettese 20%.
Lower-risk option: Grosseto or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Grosseto or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grosseto 1–0 Sambenedettese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grosseto57%fair 1.74 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.60
Sambenedettese20%fair 4.98 · @3.90
2.71Expected goals
1.77Grosseto xG
0.94Sambenedettese xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Grosseto 1.8 – 0.9 Sambenedettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grosseto to win✗
57%
1.74
1.67
Double chance
Grosseto or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Draw no bet
Grosseto (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Sambenedettese +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Grosseto to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Grosseto ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grosseto / FT Grosseto✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Grosseto – last 6
WWDDLW
26 Sep
@ Pineto
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Perugia
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Campobasso FC
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Pianese
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Latina
1–4
L
6 Sep
vs Torres
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sambenedettese – last 6
LDLLLD
26 Sep
vs Campobasso FC
1–2
L
21 Sep
@ Pianese
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Atalanta II
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ Pineto
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Spezia
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Team Altamura
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grosseto and Sambenedettese.
What is the prediction for Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
Our pick is Grosseto or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
On our numbers Grosseto have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sambenedettese 20%.
How many goals will there be in Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
Our predicted score is Grosseto 1–0 Sambenedettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
Grosseto vs Sambenedettese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Zecchini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
