Sambenedettese v Latina Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSambenedettese to win ✗39% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.91

Sambenedettese vs Latina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Sambenedettese v Latina in the Serie C Girone B, played at Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme. In the table, Sambenedettese are 17th, lower half, on 10 points after 13 matches; Latina are 15th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Sambenedettese, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Grosseto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Latina, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ostia Mare, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Latina, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Sambenedettese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sambenedettese 1.4 xG, Latina 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sambenedettese 39%, draw 24%, Latina 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sambenedettese 1–1 Latina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sambenedettese39%fair 2.56 · @2.50

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90

Latina37%fair 2.73 · @2.62

2.67Expected goals

1.36Sambenedettese xG

1.31Latina xG

58%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–09%

0–19%

2–18%

1–28%

0–07%

From our goals model: Sambenedettese 1.4 – 1.3 Latina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sambenedettese to win ✗	39%	2.56	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.35
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.74	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Sambenedettese (draw no bet)	52%	1.94	–
Asian handicap	Latina +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	50%	2.00	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Sambenedettese to score first ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sambenedettese / FT Sambenedettese ✗	22%	4.51	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.91	–

Sambenedettese – last 6

WLDLLL

3 Oct	@ Grosseto	3–1	W
26 Sep	vs Campobasso FC	1–2	L
21 Sep	@ Pianese	1–1	D
16 Sep	vs Atalanta II	2–3	L
12 Sep	@ Pineto	1–2	L
6 Sep	vs Spezia	1–2	L

1.5Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

100%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Latina – last 6

DLDLWW

4 Oct	vs Ostia Mare	1–1	D
20 Sep	@ Reggiana	0–1	L
16 Sep	vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ Gubbio	1–3	L
9 Sep	@ Grosseto	4–1	W
5 Sep	vs Forli	2–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spezia	13	11	2	0	+19	35
2	Ravenna	13	9	2	2	+17	29
3	Grosseto	13	6	5	2	+8	23
4	Pescara	13	6	4	3	+4	22
5	Torres	13	6	4	3	+3	22
6	Reggiana	13	6	2	5	+4	20
7	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	13	5	5	3	+3	20
8	Livorno	13	5	5	3	+1	20
9	Campobasso FC	13	5	4	4	-2	19
10	Atalanta II	13	6	0	7	-3	18
11	Pineto	13	4	5	4	-2	17
12	Perugia	13	5	2	6	-3	17
13	Vado	13	4	4	5	-1	16
14	Forli	13	3	6	4	-1	15
15	Latina	13	3	6	4	-2	15
16	Pianese	13	2	7	4	-3	13
17	Sambenedettese	13	2	4	7	-5	10
18	Ostia Mare	13	2	3	8	-9	9
19	Gubbio	13	2	2	9	-12	8
20	Vis Pesaro	13	1	2	10	-16	5

Team

Pts

+19

+17

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

-2

-3

-2

-3

-1

-1

-2

-3

-5

-9

-12

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sambenedettese vs Latina?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Sambenedettese vs Latina?

On our numbers Sambenedettese have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Latina 37%.

How many goals will there be in Sambenedettese vs Latina?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sambenedettese vs Latina?

Our predicted score is Sambenedettese 1–1 Latina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Sambenedettese vs Latina?

Sambenedettese vs Latina (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sambenedettese v Latina: numbers & prediction