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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ostia Mare v Vado: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Pasquale Giannattasio

Ostia Mare

LDDDW
1–2
FT

Vado

DWWDL
Ostia Mare 59%Draw 23%Vado 18% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.62
82%
Betarazi pick

Ostia Mare or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1

Value bet: Ostia Mare to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOstia Mare to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceOstia Mare or draw ✗82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25

Ostia Mare vs Vado: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ostia Mare welcome Vado to Stadio Pasquale Giannattasio for a Serie C Girone B fixture on Friday 23 October (19:30 WAT). In the table, Ostia Mare are 18th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Vado are 13th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Ostia Mare, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pescara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Vado, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sambenedettese, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ostia Mare 1.4 xG, Vado 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ostia Mare 59%, draw 23%, Vado 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ostia Mare or draw (82%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Ostia Mare to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ostia Mare or draw (82%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ostia Mare 1–0 Vado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ostia Mare59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.00
Vado18%fair 5.49 · @3.40
2.05Expected goals
1.43Ostia Mare xG
0.62Vado xG
55%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Ostia Mare 1.4 – 0.6 Vado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOstia Mare to win ✗59%1.701.95 ▲
Double chanceOstia Mare or draw ✗82%1.221.29 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.67
Draw no betOstia Mare (draw no bet) ✗76%1.31–
Asian handicapVado +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreOstia Mare to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ostia Mare / FT Ostia Mare ✗34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.25–

Recent results

Ostia Mare – last 6

LDDDWL
18 Oct@ Pescara0–2L
10 Octvs Pianese0–0D
4 Oct@ Latina1–1D
27 Sepvs Forli1–1D
20 Sep@ Gubbio2–0W
16 Sepvs Ravenna0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Vado – last 6

DWWDLL
17 Octvs Sambenedettese2–2D
11 Oct@ Perugia2–0W
3 Octvs Forli1–0W
26 Sep@ Torres0–0D
20 Sepvs Pescara0–1L
16 Sep@ Livorno2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ostia Mare and Vado.

Ostia Mare vs Vado head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spezia131120+1935
2Ravenna13922+1729
3Grosseto13652+823
4Pescara13643+422
5Torres13643+322
6Reggiana13625+420
7Guidonia Montecelio 193713553+320
8Livorno13553+120
9Campobasso FC13544-219
10Atalanta II13607-318
11Pineto13454-217
12Perugia13526-317
13Vado13445-116
14Forli13364-115
15Latina13364-215
16Pianese13274-313
17Sambenedettese13247-510
18Ostia Mare13238-99
19Gubbio13229-128
20Vis Pesaro131210-165

More Serie C Girone B predictions

League hub
FT Perugia1 Pescara2 138%2.60X23%3.00239%2.40 1.3–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.60 ✓
FT Pineto1 Gubbio0 161%1.75X22%3.10216%4.40 1.7–0.7xG 1Pineto to win 61%@1.75 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ostia Mare vs Vado?

Our pick is Ostia Mare or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Ostia Mare vs Vado?

On our numbers Ostia Mare have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vado 18%.

How many goals will there be in Ostia Mare vs Vado?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ostia Mare vs Vado?

Our predicted score is Ostia Mare 1–0 Vado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Ostia Mare vs Vado?

Ostia Mare vs Vado (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pasquale Giannattasio.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.