Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultForli to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceForli or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Forli vs Gubbio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Forli v Gubbio in the Serie C Girone B, played at Stadio Tullo Morgagni. In the table, Forli are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Gubbio are 19th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Forli, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Campobasso FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Gubbio, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vis Pesaro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Forli 1.7 xG, Gubbio 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Forli 59%, draw 23%, Gubbio 19%.
Lower-risk option: Forli or draw (81%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forli 1–0 Gubbio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Forli59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Gubbio19%fair 5.36 · @4.33
2.57Expected goals
1.72Forli xG
0.84Gubbio xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Forli 1.7 – 0.8 Gubbio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forli to win✓
59%
1.70
1.75
Double chance
Forli or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Forli (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Gubbio +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Forli to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forli / FT Forli✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Forli – last 6
LDLDLD
1 Nov
@ Campobasso FC
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Pianese
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Livorno
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Vado
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Ostia Mare
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gubbio – last 6
DDLLLL
1 Nov
vs Vis Pesaro
0–0
D
27 Oct
@ Team Altamura
0–0
D
23 Oct
@ Pineto
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Atalanta II
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ Spezia
0–2
L
3 Oct
vs Perugia
1–3
L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Forli and Gubbio.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Forli vs Gubbio?
On our numbers Forli have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gubbio 19%.
How many goals will there be in Forli vs Gubbio?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forli vs Gubbio?
Our predicted score is Forli 1–0 Gubbio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Forli vs Gubbio?
Forli vs Gubbio (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
