Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.92
Ostia Mare vs Spezia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ostia Mare welcome Spezia for a Serie C Girone B fixture on Saturday 7 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Ostia Mare are 18th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Spezia are 1st (leading the league) with 35. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ostia Mare, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Livorno, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Spezia, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atalanta II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Spezia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.5 for Ostia Mare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ostia Mare 0.7 xG, Spezia 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ostia Mare 14%, draw 24%, Spezia 62%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ostia Mare 0–1 Spezia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ostia Mare14%fair 7.30 · @5.25
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.80
Spezia62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
2.52Expected goals
0.73Ostia Mare xG
1.79Spezia xG
45%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Ostia Mare 0.7 – 1.8 Spezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spezia to win✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Double chance
Spezia or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
Spezia (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Spezia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
First team to score
Spezia to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Spezia ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spezia / FT Spezia✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
12.92
–
Recent results
Ostia Mare – last 6
LLLDDD
1 Nov
@ Livorno
0–1
L
23 Oct
vs Vado
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Pescara
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Pianese
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Latina
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Forli
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Spezia – last 6
WWDWWW
1 Nov
vs Atalanta II
2–1
W
28 Oct
vs Livorno
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Latina
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Ravenna
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Gubbio
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Reggiana
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ostia Mare and Spezia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ostia Mare vs Spezia?
On our numbers Ostia Mare have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spezia 62%.
How many goals will there be in Ostia Mare vs Spezia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ostia Mare vs Spezia?
Our predicted score is Ostia Mare 0–1 Spezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ostia Mare vs Spezia?
Ostia Mare vs Spezia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
