Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Crotone to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCrotone to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceCrotone or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Crotone vs Foggia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Foggia travel to face Crotone on Monday 24 August in the Serie C Girone C, with Stadio Ezio Scida the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Crotone are 20th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 13 matches; Foggia are 16th (lower half) with 15. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Crotone, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cosenza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Foggia, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Team Altamura, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Crotone, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Foggia.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Crotone 3–1 Foggia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crotone 1.8 xG, Foggia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crotone 61%, draw 23%, Foggia 16%.
Lower-risk option: Crotone or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Crotone to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Crotone or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crotone 1–0 Foggia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crotone61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.30
Foggia16%fair 6.43 · @3.85
2.63Expected goals
1.83Crotone xG
0.80Foggia xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Crotone 1.8 – 0.8 Foggia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Crotone or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Crotone vs Foggia?
On our numbers Crotone have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Foggia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Crotone vs Foggia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crotone vs Foggia?
Our predicted score is Crotone 1–0 Foggia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crotone vs Foggia?
Crotone vs Foggia (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ezio Scida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
